San Antonio Spurs (-270)
This line is surprisingly close for the two teams involved. The San Antonio Spurs have dealt with a plethora of injuries this season, but they are significantly healthier than the Chicago Bulls. Through 19 games, San Antonio ranks 17th in the NBA in net offensive and defensive rating (-0.4). They are only 2-3 in their last five games, but that stretch included five above average teams. Tonight, they’ll see their easiest matchup in quite some time against Chicago, who ranks 29th in the NBA in net off and def rating (-9.6). They’re 1-6 in their last seven games, losing each of those games by an average of 19.0 points. The Spurs biggest struggles this season have been defensively, and Chicago features the worst offense in the NBA. This should be a relatively easy win for San Antonio, and the only concern is that the Spurs have struggled to blow out opponents at times this season.
Bet 3 units on San Antonio -6.5 spread to win 2.7 units (-110)
Minnesota Timberwolves (-245)/Cleveland Cavaliers (+195)
The Minnesota Timberwolves have been a different team since trading Jimmy Butler. Since the trade, they rank 19th in the NBA in pace. They have also featured an elite defense, ranking second in the league in defensive rating, while also ranking only 21st in offensive rating. The Cleveland Cavaliers have featured opposite rankings, as they rank sixth in the NBA in offensive rating and only 24th in defensive rating over the same span. With that being said, they also rank 29th in the league in pace. It’s difficult to see either of these offenses posting efficient numbers in this matchup. The lack of pace will limit shot attempts, and these teams will need to produce efficient shooting for the over to hit. It’s significantly more likely that both teams struggle offensively, and this becomes a more defensive focused matchups.
Bet 3 units on Minnesota/Cleveland UNDER 214.5 to win 2.7 units (-110)
Milwaukee Bucks (-200)/Charlotte Hornets (+170)
The Milwaukee Bucks and Charlotte Hornets are two fast paced teams, as they rank fourth and 13th in the NBA in pace through 19 games. They have featured two of the best offenses in the NBA this season, as well, ranking first and fifth in offensive rating, respectively. With that being said, they also rank sixth and 15th in the league in defensive rating this season. While these two teams have the potential to turn this game into an offensive shootout, there is quite a bit of money coming in on the under in this game. I tend to agree, as it’s difficult for teams that don’t feature an elite pace to see enough shots to hit the over.
Bet 2 units on Milwaukee/Charlotte UNDER 234.5 to win 1.8 units (-110)
Parlay 2 units on Minnesota -6 spread, New Orleans -2 spread, and Golden State -8.5 spread to win 12 units (+600)