Philadelphia 76ers (-190)
This has less to do with the Indiana Pacers and more to do with the Philadelphia 76ers. Indiana has played surprisingly well on the road, posting an 8-6 record with a +3 point differential per game this season. They have also caught fire in December, posting a 5-1 record, which is a bit concerning. With that being said, Philadelphia has been virtually unstoppable at home, where they own a 14-2 record, although they two losses are “bad” losses. Still, they feature a +8.5 point differential per game in Philadelphia, while recording wins over the Memphis Grizzlies, Los Angeles Clippers, and many more. Jimmy Butler is currently questionable, and this line should widen if he’s announced as a starter. If he’s out, Philadelphia still makes a solid, but slightly riskier play tonight.
Bet 3 units on Philadelphia -4.5 spread to win 2.7 units (-110)
Memphis Grizzlies (-190)
This game is very similar to the one above. The Miami Heat have featured a better team on the road this season, although they still own a 6-7 record. Hassan Whiteside will rejoin the team for this game, but they’ll be without Goran Dragic, who may be a more important part of the rotation. Furthermore, it is a small sample size, but Miami owns only a 4-12 record on games after only one day of rest. The Memphis Grizzlies have been at their best at home, where they feature a 9-4 record this season. They also possess a +3.7 point differential per game in Memphis this season. The spread is seemingly a big wide for a defensive team like the Grizzlies, but they are averaging a +8.5 point differential per game in their wins this season. Furthermore, the Heat scored only 84 points on the road against another “defensive” team in the Utah Jazz in their last game. The Grizzlies are in a great spot for their game tonight.
Bet 3 units on Memphis -5.5 spread to win 2.7 units (-110)
Golden State Warriors (-340)/Sacramento Kings (+270)
This total is a bit high, but I still feel there’s some value in the over. The Sacramento Kings love turning their games into a track meet, ranking second in the NBA in pace this season. The Golden State Warriors only rank 13th in the league in pace, but they have proven time and time again that they’re also willing to push the pace against certain opponents. We’ve seen both Kings and Warriors games get out of control with their scoring throughout the season, and this game simply features one question – can the Kings keep it close? Sacramento owns a 5-1 record in December, and they will be playing at home tonight. While they haven’t been an elite team at home, it will certainly be a slight advantage. Overall, my answer to that question is yes, thus suggesting these two healthy teams will be scoring at will tonight.
Bet 2 units on Golden State/Sacramento OVER 235.5 to win 1.8 units (-110)
Parlay 2 units on Washington/Brooklyn UNDER 225.5, Atlanta/Boston UNDER 222, and Indiana/Philadelphia OVER 219 to win 12 units (+600)