Indianapolis Colts (-160)
This game seems a bit too obvious to be true. The Indianapolis Colts are a team that is getting better as they get healthier. The Oakland Raiders are struggling within their organization, though. They have struggled on the field, while there seems to be a divide in the team. Statistically speaking, Indianapolis features a top-10 offense in the NFL, averaging 27.0 points per game. They get a matchup against the Oakland Raiders, who feature a bottom-five defense in the league, allowing 29.3 points per game. The Colts have struggled defensively this season, but the Raiders are averaging only 18.3 points per game. Indianapolis seemingly has the advantage in every aspect of this game, and sometimes the obvious is the right play.
Bet 3 units on Indianapolis -3.5 spread to win 2.7 units (-110)
Green Bay Packers (+350)/Los Angeles Rams (-450)
It’s tough to bet over on such a high total, but this game should quickly turn into an offensive shootout. The Los Angeles Rams and Green Bay Packers both feature above average defenses, but their offenses should be able to take over this game. These two offenses are combining to average 58.3 points per game. Los Angeles features one of the best offenses in the NFL, and Green Bay will likely have no answer for them after San Francisco found plenty of success. Green Bay, on the other hand, features an offense that can keep games close. They’re expected to get Randall Cobb and Geronimo Allison back this week, adding to their offensive potential. If this total gets any higher, I’ll likely avoid, but I’m expecting a plethora of points between these two teams this week.
Bet 3 units on Green Bay/Los Angeles OVER 57 to win 2.7 units (-110)
San Francisco 49ers (-125)
The San Francisco 49ers have lost each of their four games with C.J. Beathard starting, but that may not tell the entire story. They’re averaging 21.2 points per game, scoring 27 and 30 points in two of those four games. They still have plenty of talent on this team, although their record doesn’t suggest that. San Francisco features one of the worst defenses in the NFL, while the Arizona Cardinals feature one of the worst offenses in the league. I feel these odds are a bit more based on their last matchup rather than the talent on these teams. Arizona could struggle with a new offensive coordinator, as well. These odds are a bit too close, and San Francisco should be a slightly larger favorite at this point.
Bet 2 units on San Francisco ML to win 1.6 units (-125)
Parlay 2 units on Pittsburgh -8 spread, New York Jets/Chicago OVER 45.5, Seattle/Detroit OVER 49 to win 11.6 units (+581)
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