Eli Manning/Saquon Barkley/Odell Beckham Jr
The New York Giants have struggled offensively throughout the 2018 season. They rank only 24th in the NFL in total yards (344.8) and 26th in points (19.7) per game. New York gets arguably the best matchup on the slate, though. They’ll face off against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, who rank 28th in the NFL in total yards (400.0) and last in points (32.3) allowed per game. The Giants are currently -2 point favorites in a game set at 52 points, and they feature one of the highest implied totals on the slate at 27 points.
Eli Manning has struggled for the most part this season, but he has flashed upside for his price tag at times. Through nine games, he’s averaging 285.0 passing yards and 1.2 passing touchdowns on 38.4 pass attempts per game. His inability to find the end zone has been his downfall, but that may not be a problem this week. His number one target has been Odell Beckham Jr., who has quietly been enjoying an outstanding season. He’s averaging 7.2 receptions for 95.3 yards and 0.4 touchdowns per game. He has also caught fire recently, scoring 23+ DK points in four of his last five games. Furthermore, Beckham has seen double digit targets in eight of his nune games this season. Saquon Barkley ranks second on the team in targets, while also leading New York in rushing. Overall, he’s averaging 124.0 yards and 0.8 touchdowns on 21.4 touches (6.9 receptions) per game. Barkley is seeing 8.4 targets per game this season, while seeing double digit targets in three of his last four games. The Giants come with plenty of risk each week, but they’re a high upside stack in an elite matchup this weekend.
Matt Ryan/Julio Jones/Calvin Ridley
The Atlanta Falcons have featured one of the best passing attacks in the NFL this season. They currently rank second in the NFL in passing yards (319.0) per game, while also ranking fifth in the league in passing touchdowns (21). They get a tough matchup against the Dallas Cowboys, who are allowing only 232.0 passing yards per game this season. Dallas has also allowed only 12 passing touchdowns, although they have only recorded three interceptions. Furthermore, they have allowed the sixth highest passer rating (101.3) to opposing quarterbacks in the NFL this season. The Falcons are -3.5 point favorites in a game set at 48 points, giving them an implied total of 25.8 points.
While this is somewhat of a tough matchup, Matt Ryan has been an elite quarterback in Atlanta this season. Through five home games, Ryan is averaging 359.8 passing yards and 2.8 passing touchdowns per game. He’s averaging 32.0 DK points per game in Atlanta, while averaging only 20.4 DK points per game on the road. Julio Jones gets a terrible matchup against Byron Jones, but Jones has been a relatively matchup proof type of player throughout his career. He has enjoyed plenty of success this season, averaging 7.4 receptions for 115.6 yards and 0.2 touchdowns per game. He has also been playing at an elite level recently, scoring 20+ DK points in each of his last four contests. Calvin Ridley has been a major beneficiary to Ryan’s success in Atlanta. While Ridley has struggled on the road, he has totaled 23 receptions for 354 yards and six touchdowns on 28 targets through five home games. The majority of his success came in three consecutive home games, but his upside for his price tag is undeniable. He’s also an elite option to pair with the safety of Jones and Ryan in this stack.
Drew Brees/Michael Thomas/Ben Watson
The New Orleans Saints own one of the best passing offenses in the NFL, as they are averaging 287.0 passing yards per game this season. They have also totaled 21 passing touchdowns, while throwing only one interception. They get a sneaky matchup against the Philadelphia Eagles, who are allowing 266.0 passing yards per game this season. They have only allowed 12 passing touchdowns, while recording only four interceptions. The Saints have featured one of the hottest offenses in the NFL recently, and they are -8 point favorites in a game set at 56 points. They own an implied total of 32 points, which is the highest on the slate this week.
Drew Brees has flashed tremendous upside this season, scoring 29+ DK points in five of his nine starts, but he has also scored single digit fantasy points in two games this season. He has been a significantly better fantasy option at home, where he’s averaging 347.8 passing yards and 3.0 passing touchdowns per game. Brees owns three rushing touchdowns on the road this season, but he’s still averaging 8.2 more DK points per game at home. Michael Thomas has been arguably the best wide receiver in the NFL this season, and he’s the focal point of the New Orleans passing attack. Through nine games, Thomas is averaging 8.7 receptions for 105.6 yards and 0.8 touchdowns per game. He has been an elite option at home this season, as well, where he’s averaging 31.9 DK points per game. While he has only played four games at home this season, he has scored 40+ DK points in two of those games. Ben Watson is a sneaky way to get a piece of this offense, as he will come with extremely low ownership. Through nine games, he has totaled only 27 receptions for 293 yards and two touchdowns. He has scored a touchdown in two of his last three games, while nearly scoring twice last week. He dropped a touchdown and was ruled out inside the one yard line against the Cincinnati Bengals or his line would have looked significantly better. He’s simply a way to get a low owned piece of the best offense on the slate.
High Upside GPP Stack
Dak Prescott/Ezekiel Elliott/Amari Cooper
The Dallas Cowboys have featured one of the worst offenses in the NFL for the most part this season. They rank 27th in the NFL in total yards (327.4) per game, while also ranking 24th in the league in points (20.1) per game. They get a great matchup against the Atlanta Falcons, who are allowing their opponents to record 414.3 total yards and 28.2 points per game this season. Dallas is a +3.5 point underdog in a game set at 48 points, and they feature an implied total of only 22.3 points. That will help lower their ownership on somewhat of a smaller slate this weekend.
Dak Prescott struggled early this season, but he has been playing significantly better recently. Overall, he’s averaging 214.4 passing yards and 1.2 passing touchdowns on 30.3 pass attempts per game. He has also added 28.4 yards and 0.3 touchdowns per game on the ground this season. While those numbers certainly don’t stick out, Prescott has scored 20+ DK points in three of his last four games, including a 29.52 DK point performance against the Jacksonville Jaguars. Amari Cooper has played a major role in the offense since his trade. In two games with Dallas, he has totaled 11 receptions for 133 yards and one touchdown on 18 targets. He has looked significantly more comfortable with Dallas, scoring double digit DK points in each of those games. Ezekiel Elliott is the focal point of the offense, though. On the season, he’s averaging 121.4 yards and 0.7 touchdowns on 22.6 touches (3.9 receptions) per game. Elliott is also coming off of his best game of the season, scoring 39.7 DK points against the Philadelphia Eagles. Prescott, Elliott, and Cooper quietly make up a high upside “Big Three” against one of the worst defenses in the NFL.
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