Dak Prescott/Ezekiel Elliott/Amari Cooper
The Dallas Cowboys only rank 21st in the NFL in total yards (346.4) and 26th in points (19.7) per game, but those numbers have been on the rise since the addition of Amari Cooper. They get an elite matchup against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, who are allowing 386.6 total yards and 28.8 points per game this season. Both of these numbers rank in the bottom-five of the NFL in 2018. The Cowboys are currently -7.5 point favorites in a game set at 47.5 points, and they feature an implied total of 27.5 points this weekend.
Dak Prescott has performed well this season, but he has been on another level at home. Through seven home starts, he’s averaging 262.0 yards and 1.9 touchdowns on 31.9 pass attempts per game. He has also totaled 182 yards and two touchdowns on the ground in Dallas. Overall, Prescott is averaging 21.8 DK points per game at home, as opposed to 14.3 DK points per game on the road. Furthermore, Prescott has scored 30.4 and 27.36 DK points in two of his last four games, flashing elite upside. His favorite target has been Amari Cooper, who has been playing at an absurdly high level in Dallas this season. In four home games, Cooper is averaging 7.8 receptions for 132.8 yards and 1.5 touchdowns on 9.5 targets per game. Cooper is also averaging 31.3 DK points per game at home and only 9.5 DK points per game on the road with the Cowboys. Ezekiel Elliott is another Cowboys’ player, who has performed better in Dallas this season, although his splits aren’t quite as significant as Prescott or Cooper. Through 14 total games, Elliott is averaging 135.2 yards and 0.6 touchdowns on 25.6 touches (5.1 receptions) per game. Elliott is also averaging 7.2 receptions per game over the last six games, making him an elite stacking option with Prescott. Elliott also adds a bit of consistency to the upside of Prescott and Cooper.
Jared Goff/Brandin Cooks/Robert Woods
The Los Angeles Rams offense has stalled a bit recently, but they still rank fourth in the NFL in passing yards (292.0) per game and ninth in passing touchdowns (27). They get a matchup against the Arizona Cardinals, who are allowing only 212.0 passing yards per game this season. With that being said, they have allowed 19 passing touchdowns, while recording only six interceptions. They have struggled to defend the pass, but have been blown out, limiting their opponents opportunities to record passing stats. That’s somewhat of a concern this week, as the Rams are -14 point favorites in a game set at 44.5 points, giving them an implied total of 29.3 points.
Jared Goff has performed well this season, averaging 305.2 yards and 1.9 touchdowns on 36.5 pass attempts per game. He has struggled recently, while also struggling on the road this season. With that being said, Goff comes with 40 DK point upside, and this is a perfect storm for him to feature extremely low ownership. He makes a great leverage option on this slate. Patrick Peterson is expected to only play one side of the field this week, leaving Robert Woods and Brandin Cooks to matchup against Budda Baker and David Amerson. Woods has been one of the most consistent options in the NFL this season, scoring double-digit DK points in each of his last 13 games. On the season, he’s averaging 5.6 receptions for 79.0 yards and 0.4 touchdowns on 8.6 targets per game. Woods seemingly owns a floor sitting around 10 DK points, while his ceiling is significantly higher, sitting around 35 DK points. Cooks is another relatively consistent option, as well, scoring double-digit DK points in 11 of his 13 healthy games this season. He has also scored 20+ DK points in five games this season. Through 13 healthy games, Cooks is averaging 5.1 receptions for 79.1 yards and 0.2 touchdowns on 7.5 targets per game. Cooks and Woods are two of the biggest parts of the Los Angeles passing attack, and they also get the best matchups in this game.
Andrew Luck/T.Y. Hilton/Eric Ebron
The Indianapolis Colts have featured one of the best passing attacks in the NFL this season, as they are averaging 274.0 passing yards per game. They have also totaled 34 passing touchdowns this season. This week, they get a matchup against the New York Giants, who are allowing 237.0 passing yards per game. New York has also allowed 18 passing touchdowns, while recording 15 interceptions. They Colts are -10 point favorites in a game set at 47 points, though, and they own an implied total of 28.5 points this weekend.
Andrew Luck hasn’t been the most consistent quarterback in the NFL over the last few weeks, but he has been enjoying a dominant season. Through 14 games, he’s averaging 282.2 yards and 2.4 touchdowns on 39.8 pass attempts per game. Luck has been a slightly better option in Indianapolis this season, where he’s averaging a healthy 24.3 DK points per game. He has featured two clear-cut top receiving options – T.Y. Hilton, Eric Ebron – this season. Hilton has been dealing with injuries for quite some time, but he has proven that he doesn’t need to practice to perform well in games. Through 12 games, he’s averaging 5.6 receptions for 89.3 yards and 0.5 touchdowns on 8.8 targets per game. He has also caught fire over his last five games, as he’s averaging 24.6 DK points per game over that span. Most impressively, Hilton has only scored two touchdowns over that span, suggesting he comes with more upside than he has displayed. Ebron is another player that has been seeing limited practice time, but that hasn’t stopped him from playing either. He wasn’t particularly needed last weekend, totaling only one reception for eight yards on three targets. He had scored 16+ DK points in each of his three games prior to that, though, and he’s averaging 4.2 receptions for 47.3 yards and 0.9 touchdowns on 7.1 targets per game on the season. He has taken on a larger role since the injury to Jack Doyle, and this trio makes up the majority of the Indianapolis offense, assuming they don’t lean heavily on Marlon Mack again, which hasn’t been their gameplan for the majority of the season.
High Upside GPP Stack
Baker Mayfield/Nick Chubb/Jarvis Landry
The Cleveland Browns offense has featured plenty of ups and downs throughout the season, ranking 16th in the NFL in total yards (355.8) and 19th in points (22.1) per game in 2018. They get an elite matchup against the Cincinnati Bengals, who rank in the bottom-two of the NFL in total yards (413.0) and points (29.5) allowed per game this season. This weekend, the Browns are -10 point favorites in a game set at only 44.5 points. Still, they own a respectable implied total of 27.3 points this week.
Baker Mayfield has been enjoying an outstanding rookie season, as he’s averaging 255.4 yards and 1.8 touchdowns on 33.9 pass attempts per game. He needed only 26 pass attempts to dominate Cincinnati earlier this season, totaling 258 yards and four touchdowns in that game. While he hasn’t been the most consistent option, he has posted his best game of the season against the Bengals and could do that once again this week. Jarvis Landry has been having a down season, but he has still scored double-digit fantasy points in 10 of his 14 games, including four games with 20+ DK points. On the season, he’s averaging 5.1 receptions for 59.1 yards and 0.2 touchdowns on 9.4 targets per game. He’ll continue to see the volume, but simply needs to capitalize more in the red zone, as ranks 16th in the NFL with 17 red zone targets this season. Nick Chubb was able to take over the starting running back job in Week 7, and he has looked outstanding ever since. In eight starts, he’s averaging 85.9 yards and 0.8 touchdowns on 18.5 carries per game. He’s also averaging 2.0 receptions per game over that span. Furthermore, Chubb totaled 27.8 DK points in his matchup against Cincinnati earlier this season. For what it’s worth, David Njoku is another option that can be considered in this stack.