Follow Brad on Twitter! (@WhatsTheSpread_)
Brendan Steele over Danny Willet -160
Golf season is in full swing and that means it’s time to win some money. Picking an overall winner is difficult and not worth the risk from a betting standpoint. Where the easy money can be made is finding a book that has match up bets. My strategy behind this is to find golfers who are coming into the tournament hot and bet them. For the first match up I am going with the guy who is just an all better golfer. Outside of Danny Willett’s Masters victory, I am not much of a fan. Don’t get me wrong, Willet has had plenty of success overseas. But I am still leaning towards Brendan Steele. Brendan Steele has solid value to beat Willett in Thursday’s round at the Desert Classic at -160. I would keep the wager small in this match up. Brendan Steele is the better golfer, but he is known to put up the occasional big score.
Harold Varner III over Ryan Palmer +100
I am partial to Harold Varner III aka the Dab Master, he’s an exciting golfer to watch and generally starts tournaments very well. He ended last golf season hot and has continued to build on that momentum. He has two top 20 finishes and a top 10 finish where he finished tied for 6th at the Mayakoba Golf Classic to start this golf season. The match up I like is Varner vs Palmer. Both are solid golfers, but at +100 give me Varner all day. He is coming into the tournament with a scoring average of 69.83. While Palmer comes in with a scoring average of 70. No doubt Palmer is the more experienced golfer, but let’s ride the hot hand with tremendous value here.
Justin Rose over Patrick Cantlay -150
Hard to bet against the World Number 1. So, why do it? Justin Rose had himself a great year narrowly edging out Tiger Woods to win the FedEx Cup. In addition to winning the FedEx Cup he claimed the World Number 1 ranking. Rose had a strong showing at the World Golf Championships-HSBC Champions where he finished 3rd. His play has been great to start the season. He is currently number 1 in scoring average at 68.24, he is the top 20 in sand save percentage as well as birdies per round. Patrick Cantlay is no slouch, this play is simply my confidence in betting on the number 1 golfer in the world.
Be sure to tune into What’s the Spread, I will be covering tournament winners and help you win your office pool during all four majors.