Bales’ MyBookie Bets
Tyler Anderson (+110)
The Colorado Rockies are in an interesting spot tonight. They get a tough matchup on paper against Ross Stripling, but he owns a 3-2 record with a 4.09 ERA over his last eight starts. He has also allowed nine earned runs in his last 8.2 innings, and he struggled against Colorado in their only matchup this season. Tyler Anderson has also struggled in his last two starts, but he has allowed two or fewer earned runs in each of his last four home starts, including a matchup against the Houston Astros. Furthermore, Anderson threw eight shutout innings against the Los Angeles Dodgers in their last matchup. The Dodgers lineup is extremely dangerous against left-handed pitching, but Colorado features a lineup that can score runs in bunches at home. It also could take Los Angeles a game to get adjusted to the air in Colorado, giving them a slight advantage, specifically with plus odds.
Bet 2 units on Colorado ML to win 2.2 units (+110)
I’m going back to the well for the remaining two picks because I simply do not like this slate very much. If you read my articles on a daily basis, you know how well the Indians play at home. They own a 61% win rate, while averaging 5.7 runs per game. They get a tough matchup against Jose Berrios, but he has been a significantly better pitching option at home this season. Through 10 road starts, he owns a 3-6 record with a 4.30 ERA. Corey Kluber, on the other hand, has been one of the best pitchers in the MLB when he draws a start in Cleveland. He has posted an 8-3 record with a 2.02 ERA through 13 starts in 2018. Kluber has mostly struggled with home runs recently, and Minnesota has featured one of the least powerful offenses in the MLB in trading away two of their best offensive assets. Kluber has struggled a bit against Minnesota this season, but he’s in a great spot on a slate with limited safe bets.
Bet 4 units on Cleveland -1.5 RL to win 3.5 units (-115)
Junior Guerra (-190)
Guerra is a pitcher that can always be bet on at home. Through 13 home starts, he owns a 3-3 record with a sparkling 2.55 ERA. He has also allowed three or fewer earned runs in each of his last nine home starts. Tonight, he gets a matchup against the San Diego Padres, who have struggled offensively this season. As we know, Milwaukee traded away a few of their best prospects to bolster their offense at the trade deadline, and they are averaging a healthy 4.8 runs per game since the All Star Break. Tonight, hey get a matchup against Robbie Erlin, who has thrown well this season. He owns a 2-3 record with a 3.34 ERA in a reserve role. He struggled in his only matchup against Milwaukee, though, and he likely will not be pitching deep into this game. San Diego featured a dominant bullpen this season, but they traded away players like Brad Hand at the deadline, limiting them for the rest of the season. Milwaukee is in a great spot to repeat their success from last night, which is exactly what we should expect from them.
Bet 2 units on MIL -1.5 RL to win 2.4 units (+120)
Parlay 2 units on Cleveland -1.5 RL, Milwaukee -1.5 RL, New York Yankees -1.5 RL, and Boston -1.5 RL to win 24.6 units (+1230)