Bales' Bananas - Monkey Knife Fight NBA Prop Picks 1/2/19 » DFS Karma
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Bales’ Bananas – Monkey Knife Fight NBA Prop Picks 1/2/19

Glass Cleaner – New Orleans Pelicans/Brooklyn Nets

We’ve attacked bigs all season against the Brooklyn Nets, and now we have one of the best frontcourts in the NBA against them. The New Orleans Pelicans feature Anthony Davis and Julius Randle, who are combining to average 25.2 rebounds per game over the last 10 days. With that being said, Davis has posted double-digit rebounds in each of his last eight games, including five games with 17+ rebounds. Randle’s numbers are somewhat down because of an outlier game against the Dallas Mavericks, but he’s averaging 10.5 rebounds per game over his last eight games, excluding the outlier. Brooklyn also ranks second last in the NBA against centers, allowing 18.7 rebounds per game, while they’re also allowing 10.9 rebounds per game to power forwards. I’m a bit worried about Jarrett Allen because of the lack of minutes recently, but he’s averaging 8.0 rebounds in only 21.2 minutes per game over the last 10 days. He has also posted 9+ rebounds in three of his last four games, and he found success in somewhat of limited minutes against New Orleans earlier this season. The main reason behind using Allen is that New Orleans is allowing the second fewest rebounds (10.1) per game to power forwards this season, while they rank below average against centers, allowing 16.2 rebounds per game. We’ve seen Allen play 30+ minutes for the Nets before, and that would be ideal if he can do that again tonight. If not, we’re truly leaning heavily on the rebounding skills over Davis and Randle, who have proven to be one of the top rebounding duos in the NBA.

Play $50 on Anthony Davis, Julius Randle, and Jarrett Allen OVER 36.5 rebounds to win $100 (2x)

 

Glass Cleaner – Atlanta Hawks/Washington Wizards

We’re back on another Glass Cleaner prop with a surprisingly low total. Starting with Washington, Thomas Bryant will likely be locked into 30+ minutes again tonight with Dwight Howard and Markieff Morris injured. He recorded eight and 10 rebounds in his last two starts, which is close to on par with his per minute rebounding rate this season. The Atlanta Hawks have featured a below average defense, allowing opposing centers to average 16.6 rebounds per game, giving Bryant a slight boost tonight. John Collins has proven to be an elite rebounder, recording double-digit rebounds in nine of his last 10 games. Over that span, he’s averaging 12.9 rebounds per game, and he has recorded 16+ rebounds in three games. The Washington Wizards rank third last in the NBA in rebounds allowed (12.3) per game against power forwards. It’s a very realistic possibility that Collins could post over half of the rebounds needed for this prop if he can stay out of foul trouble. Washington also ranks in the bottom-five of the NBA in rebounds allowed (17.3) per game to centers. Dewayne Dedmon was dealing with an injury, but he’s probable to play tonight. He has quietly produced extremely well recently, averaging 11.0 rebounds per game over the last 10 days. Furthermore, Dedmon has posted 10+ rebounds in four of his last six games, struggling only when he’s dealing with fouls. Each of these players have double-digit rebounding potential on any given night, and the 32.5 (3x) and 36.5 (5x) also look like solid plays, depending on how risky you’re willing to take this play. NOTE: If Dedmon for some reason is ruled out, swap him to Alex Len and use the same play.

Play $50 on John Collins, Dewayne Dedmon, and Thomas Bryant OVER 28.5 rebounds to win $100 (2x)

 

Over Under 2/2 – Philadelphia 76ers/Phoenix Suns

Devin Booker has been playing at an elite level since returning from injury, as he has scored 25+ points in eight of his nine games back. Over that span, he’s averaging 28.4 points per game. He’s taking 20+ shot attempts on a near nightly basis, and he dominated the Philadelphia 76ers in their only matchup this season, scoring 37 points. This point total is certainly getting a bit high, but Booker is an elite offensive player, and Philadelphia hasn’t flashed the defense that is capable of slowing him down, as they are allowing the sixth most points (23.4) per game against shooting guards this season. Jimmy Butler has the potential to go off on any given night, but that simply isn’t overly likely. His point total is surprisingly high, as he has only eclipsed that total in two of his last 10 games. He simply isn’t a huge part of the offense, especially with how well Joel Embiid has been playing over his last three games. Overall, Butler has only attempted more than 13 shots in a game once over his last nine games. He also scored only 16 points in his only matchup against the Phoenix Suns this season, and they have performed extremely well against shooting guards this season, although they have struggled against small forwards, depending on who they will have guard Butler.

Play $50 on Devin Booker OVER 24.5 points and Jimmy Butler UNDER 20.5 points to win $102 (2.04x)

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