Bales' Bananas - Monkey Knife Fight NBA Prop Picks 12/31/18 » DFS Karma
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Bales’ Bananas – Monkey Knife Fight NBA Prop Picks 12/31/18

Glass Cleaner – Minnesota Wolves/New Orleans Pelicans

Anthony Davis and Julius Randle have both found plenty of success rebounding the ball this season, posting 18.3 and 17.1 rebound percentages, respectively. Davis has been playing at an extremely high level recently, averaging 16.6 rebounds per game over the last 10 days. While Randle hasn’t found quite as much success, he’s still averaging 8.8 rebounds per game over the same span. In other words, this duo is combining to average 25.4 rebounds per game, while combining for as many as 29 rebounds in a game over that span. Karl-Anthony Towns has struggled a bit recently, but he has been playing at another level over his last three games. Over that span, he’s averaging 19.0 rebounds per game, and he has recorded at least 18 rebounds in each game. While 40 total rebounds between three players may seem like a large amount, each of these players has the potential for 20 rebounds on any given night. Furthermore, that number looks significantly lower when you consider it’s 13.3 rebounds per player, which is far from out of the question in what should be a fast paced game.

Play $50 on Anthony Davis, Julius Randle, and Karl-Anthony Towns OVER 39.5 rebounds to win $100 (2x)

 

Scoring Champ – Dallas Mavericks/Oklahoma City Thunder

Anytime we can get a three man team set with a point total in the low-70s and Paul George on the slate, we have to take it. George has been scoring at an absurdly high rate for quite some time, and he’s averaging 34.5 points per game over the last 10 days. Furthermore, he’s averaging 32.5 points per game over the last 10 days, including seven games with 30+ points and two games with 40+ points. There is a realistic chance George could score nearly half of this total himself, after scoring 36 points in his last matchup against the Dallas Mavericks. Luka Doncic has taken clear strides forward during his rookie season, and he’s averaging 25.7 points per game over the last 10 days. Similarly to PG13, he has been playing well for much longer than that, averaging 24.2 points per game over his last 10 games. He has also scored 20+ points in eight of his last 10 games, including two games with 30+ points. Russell Westbrook hasn’t been scoring overly well with George on the court, but he’s still one of the top scorers in the game. He scored 40 points against the Phoenix Suns with George hurt, and has displayed the ability to take over the game if need be. Westbrook isn’t the focal point of this play, and he’s more of an insurance policy if George struggles, as he’ll likely take over the offense in that type of situation. Each of these players have the potential to score well on any given night, and this total is entirely too low for their potential.

Play $50 on Paul George, Russell Westbrook, and Luka Doncic OVER 71.5 points to win $100 (2x)

 

Over Under 2/2 – Minnesota Wolves/New Orleans Pelicans

I feel a bit uneasy making this play while also taking the rebound prop, but this is somewhat an upside hedge. Anthony Davis scored 29 points in his first matchup against the Minnesota Wolves, while shooting only 36% from the field. His total is set relatively high, but this game will feature a fast pace, giving him extra shot opportunities, similarly to the first matchup. Karl-Anthony Towns shot slightly above his average on the season to score 25 points in their first matchup. He has scored 34 and 31 points in each of his last two games, as well, and Towns is clearly heating up for Minnesota. Once again, these totals are a bit high, but this game will feature one of the fastest paces on the slate, and if they aren’t scoring well, we have the rebound prop to hedge ourselves.

Play $50 on Anthony Davis OVER 31.5 points and Karl-Anthony Towns OVER 23.5 points to win $116.50 (2.33x)

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