Welcome to Bales’ Premium PrizePicks – NBA Player Props 3/9! Below I will discuss my NBA favorite plays for tonight’s slate!
Devonte’ Graham has struggled with injuries and inconsistencies in recent weeks. Since returning from his most recent absence, Graham is averaging 23.5 points, 6.5 assists, and 1.0 steal (33.9 fantasy points) in 32.5 minutes per game. He posted 32+ fantasy points in each of those games, as well. Graham also saw a usage rating around 27% in each game. He gets a great matchup against the Atlanta Hawks tonight. They rank sixth in the NBA in pace and 28th in defensive rating. They have also struggled against scoring guards this season, which has been Graham’s primary focus in recent games. He’s expected to see 30+ minutes once again, and this is a matchup he should find plenty of success in, similarly to earlier this season.
Khris Middleton took over the offense with Giannis Antetokounmpo out last night. He saw nearly a 42% usage rating, scoring 39 points with 2 rebounds and 4 assists (43.4 fantasy points) in 35 minutes. Antetokounmpo is expected to sit once again tonight, leaving Middleton as the focal point of the offense. While his scoring could lower in a tougher matchup against the Denver Nuggets, he’s a player that can add peripheral stats at a high level on any given night. Middleton is expected to see around 35 minutes again tonight, making him an outstanding option on this slate.
Play 1 unit on Devonte’ Graham OVER 32.0 fantasy points and Khris Middleton OVER 42.4 fantasy points to win 2.5 units (2.5x)
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