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Giannis Over 6.5 Assists
This is the best play I see on UD right now being that Giannis is -135 to go over this number. He just had a 12 assist game vs. the Celtics and has gone over this in four of the last five games. Khris Middleton’s absence gives Giannis more usage, and since Giannis is usually double-teamed it opens a man up for Giannis to find for an assist. I still like him at 7 assists but anything over that I would fade.
Confidence Meter (1-10): 6
Al Horford UNDER 8.5 Rebounds
Horford is slightly too high at 8.5 and I think they may start using Williams more for defensive purposes to help against Giannis, taking away from Horford’s usage. Even though he just had 10 boards last game, I think he drops back to his normal average of eight and stays under. Some books have Horford listed at 7.5 on the over and others have him at -139 on the under of 8.5. It will be a close one, but I’m playing the odds on the under here.
Confidence Meter (1-10): 5
Pair with Drew Smyly SPECIAL OVER .5 Pitch Count
Written by Biggie