Welcome to Bales’ Stacks and Hidden Gems for today’s NBA DFS slate for DraftKings! Below, I will discuss my favorite NBA DFS plays for tonight’s slate!
Easy Breezy: Chalk Stack
The Houston Rockets and Minnesota Wolves rank second and seventh in the NBA in pace, respectively. Houston also ranks third in the league in offensive rating, while Minnesota ranks 16th in defensive rating. The Rockets are -5.5 point favorites in a game set at 234.5 points, giving them the highest implied team total on the slate at 120 points.
Russell Westbrook has caught fire in recent games. He’s averaging 31.5 points, 11.8 rebounds, 9.8 assists, and 2.5 steals (67.4 DK points) in 38.4 minutes per game over the last 10 days. He has also scored 69+ DK points in 3 of his last 4 games, while triple-doubling in a pair of those contests. Westbrook has been a better player at home, but he scored 56.5 DK points in 32.5 minutes in his only matchup against Minnesota this season. He’s an elite option on this slate.
James Harden has cooled off a bit recently. This isn’t surprising, though, as Westbrook has taken a step forward. Over the last 10 days, Harden is averaging 28.8 points, 6.8 rebounds, 6.2 assists, annd 1.0 block (49.3 DK points) in 37.0 minutes per game. His recent struggles have caused his price tag to drop, but Harden still possess 80 DK point basis on a nearly nightly basis. He’s also averaging 64.1 DK points in only 33.1 minutes per game against the Wolves, although one of those games was without Westbrook. Still, Westbrook and Harden will be locked into major minutes tonight, and they make an outstanding pairing in cash games.
Clint Capela is the final piece of the Houston puzzle. He’s coming off of a 41.75 DK point performance against the Denver Nuggets. Still, he’s only averaging 12.8 points, 12.8 rebounds, 1.8 assists, and 2.0 blocks (36.2 DK points) in 32.1 minutes per game over the last 10 days. Capela is generally a safe option, though, and he boasts 60 DK point upside. He has yet to play Minnesota this season, but there’s very little reason to believe he’ll struggle in big minutes. This stack is extremely expensive, but there are a few salary relief options on this slate, and it would be surprising if more didn’t open up as the day progresses.