What’s up everyone and welcome to Ben’s Building Blocks! If you’ve never read my content before, welcome. To those that have, welcome back. I truly appreciate everyone that reads and supports during NBA season. This article is designed for me to highlight the top plays of the day. Obviously, things can change rapidly in the NBA with injury news close to lock, so I would be sure to subscribe to our premium package for access to our Final Thoughts cheat sheet, our premium discord channel and my core plays. Our Core Plays product gives you the ability to tail all of our analysts in your contests each night. We do the work for you, and you simply plug and play with our premium Core Plays. With that being said, let’s hop into the plays…
Golden State is still without Steph Curry and Andrew Wiggins, which solidifies Poole as one of the top overall plays once again. He’s coming off a game in which he dropped 40+ real points, and even if Klay Thompson is active, Poole is still going to hoist as many shots up as he can in Madison Square Garden tonight against the Knicks. His season usage rate is around 28% — and that number spikes to over 33% with Curry and Wiggins off the court. He’s averaging over 20 FGA with them off the floor as well, and it’s a strong individual match-up. We have him projected as one of the higher-owned plays on Tuesday, but that is chalk I’m fine eating on all sites.
This is a fantastic spot for Ayton, and I’m pretty excited to see that he isn’t projecting for crazy high ownership as of Tuesday afternoon. Pretty much all of Phoenix is out tonight…Cam Payne, Devin Booker, Jock Landale, Josh Okogie and Jae Crowder. When running the Suns numbers with these players off the court – I could easily write up Paul as the top Suns player but I’m going to side with Ayton. His minutes have been a concern this season, and Paul is much safer in the playing time department. That being said, in a small sample, Ayton has been the clear winner with all these guys off the court clearly leading the team in usage at 31% with over 1.4 fantasy points per minute. That per minute production is clearly the highest number on the team — and I think he’s in a monster spot on Tuesday night.
There is some pretty limited value on Tuesday nights small slate — making Pat Williams one of our top value projections and highest pOWN% projections as well. Williams isn’t even a true top-value at his price, this slate is just so thin in that aspect that he has to be in consideration due to the lack of quality sub-$5K options. He’s been churning out some 20+ fantasy point games in a row, and Miami is actually a pretty good overall match-up for him. Even with Adebayo, they’ve struggled on the glass this season so we could see Williams rack up some peripherals tonight. Overall, unless more value opens he will be high-owned in cash games and single entry tournaments.
OwnersBox Top Play
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As noted above — Golden State is going to be without Steph Curry and Donte DiVincenzo tonight, as well as Andrew Wiggins. It sounds like Klay Thompson will be able to suit up but there’s a very real chance that Ty Jerome starts at PG for the Warriors against the Knicks. Luckily, this game is on the east coast so we should have that news at or around lock, and won’t need to game plan for massive late swaps. Jerome is cheap across the industry, and isn’t a per minute monster but will definitely see a lot of the ball if starting tonight. He’s actually from New York City…so potentially starting in the garden when you’re from NYC would be quite the narrative to post a big game. If we get news that he’s starting, he’s one of the top values on Tuesday night.
Written by Ben Hossler (Follow @BenHossler on Twitter)