Aaron Rodgers/Jamaal Williams/Davante Adams
The Green Bay Packers have found plenty of offensive success this season, ranking ninth in the NFL in total yards (382.0) and 12th in points (25.1) per game on the season. They get a matchup against the Detroit Lions, who are allowing 345.7 total yards and 24.0 points per game in 2018. The Packers are currently -7.5 point favorites in a game set at 44 points. They own an implied total of 25.8 points this weekend.
Aaron Rodgers has been a great fantasy option throughout the season, averaging 294.4 yards and 1.7 touchdowns on 39.5 pass attempts per game this season. He has also totaled 269 yards and two touchdowns on the ground through 15 games. Rodgers also displayed elite upside last week, totaling 45.88 DK points against the New York Jets, although that game featured overtime. His favorite target this season has been Davante Adams, who has been one of the best fantasy options in the NFL this season. Through 15 games, he’s averaging 7.4 receptions for 92.4 yards and 0.9 touchdowns on 11.3 targets per game. Adams has seen double-digit targets in each of his last four games, and he has scored 20+ DK points in six of his last seven games, while also flashing elite upside. Adams also needs two receptions and 134 yards to break Green Bay’s team records, suggesting he could be peppered with an elite amount of targets once again this weekend. Jamaal Williams has essentially played in two games for the injured Aaron Jones, averaging 126.5 yards and 1.0 touchdown on 18.5 touches (5.0 receptions) per game. He has totaled 14 targets over the last two weeks, and it’s clear that Williams has a major role in the Green Bay passing attack. They could potentially get out to an early lead in a plus matchup against Detroit, and utilizing Williams will add safety to this stack.
Jameis Winston/Mike Evans/Chris Godwin
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have featured one of the best passing attacks in the NFL, leading the league with 319.0 passing yards per game. They have also totaled 32 passing touchdowns this season. They get an elite matchup against the Atlanta Falcons, who are allowing 254.0 passing yards per game this season. They have also allowed 29 passing touchdowns, while recording only 14 interceptions. The Bucs are +1.5 point underdogs in a game set at 50.5 points this weekend. They could be forced to throw from start to finish in a close game, and they feature an implied total of 24.5 points.
Jameis Winston has played in 10 games this season, although not all 10 were full games. Still, in those 10 games, he’s averaging 264.7 yards and 1.5 touchdowns on 34.3 pass attempts per game. He has also added 258 yards and one touchdown on the ground. Winston has cooled off a bit over the last two weeks, but he was consistently scoring 20+ DK points per game before facing off against two of the best pass defenses in the NFL. He gets a significantly easier matchup this weekend, and should be able to get back on track. Mike Evans has quietly enjoyed an elite season in 2018. Through 15 games, he’s averaging 5.3 receptions for 94.5 yards and 0.4 touchdowns on 8.7 targets per game. He has scored 20+ DK points in eight of his 15 games this season, while flashing 30+ DK point upside. Evans is still priced well under the “elite” options on this slate, as well. Adam Humphries makes sense here, but I’m siding with the upside and matchup of Chris Godwin. DeSean Jackson is expected to miss this game, leaving Godwin to slide into a bigger role in the offense. On the season, Godwin is averaging 3.5 receptions for 48.5 yards and 0.3 touchdowns on 5.7 targets per game. He has struggled quite a bit recently, but he comes with 20+ DK point upside for a low price tag. He will also see the matchup against Robert Alford, who has been the worst cornerback for the Falcons this season, according to Pro Football Focus.
Patrick Mahomes/Tyreek Hill/Travis Kelce
The Kansas City Chiefs are another offense that has featured an elite passing attack. They are averaging 310.0 passing yards per game in 2018, while also recording a league-high 48 passing touchdowns. They get a matchup against the Oakland Raiders, who are only allowing 236.0 passing yards per game this season. With that being said, they have allowed 34 passing touchdowns, while recording only 13 interceptions. The Chiefs are -13.5 point favorites in a game set at 52.5 points, giving them the highest implied total on the slate at 33 points.
Patrick Mahomes has been arguably the best quarterback in the NFL this season, averaging 321.1 yards and 3.2 touchdowns on 37.1 pass attempts per game. His floor sits around 20 DK points, while his ceiling is north of 40 DK points. He scored 33 DK points against the Oakland Raiders in their only matchup this season, throwing for 295 yards and four touchdowns on 38 pass attempts. Travis Kelce has been his favorite target this season, leading the team with 141 targets through 15 games. Overall, he’s averaging 6.5 receptions for 84.9 yards and 0.7 touchdowns on 9.4 targets per game. He has scored double-digit fantasy points in every game since the first week, including a 42.8 DK point performance against Oakland. In that game, Kelce posted a 12/168/2 line on 13 targets. The Raiders have featured one of the worst defenses in the NFL against tight ends, and Kelce will be a huge part of the game plan this week. Tyreek Hill has also found plenty of success this season, as he’s averaging 5.5 receptions for 91.9 yards and 0.7 touchdowns on 8.7 targets per game. He has surprisingly struggled a bit recently, but Hill always comes with tremendous upside. He could also be looking for redemption against Oakland after recording only one reception for 13 yards in their first matchup. These three have a bit more defined of a role than Spencer Ware and Damien Williams, who could be forced to split carries with Ware returning from injury and Williams playing so well in his absence.
High Upside GPP Stack
Matt Ryan/Brian Hill/Julio Jones
The Atlanta Falcons offense has been playing at a high level for the majority of the 2018 season, ranking eighth in the NFL in total yards (382.5) and 11th in points (25.3) per game. They get a great matchup against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, who are allowing 376.3 total yards and 28.7 points per game this season. The Falcons are currently -1.5 point favorites in a game set at 50.5 points, and they possess one of the higher implied totals on the slate at 26 points.
Matt Ryan has quietly featured one of the best seasons of any quarterback in the NFL in 2018. Through 15 games, he’s averaging 303.1 yards and 2.2 touchdowns on 37.6 pass attempts per game. Ryan quietly owns three rushing touchdowns on the season, as well. He has scored 20+ DK points in 11 games this season, including five games with 30+ DK points. He also totaled 30.5 DK points in his only game against Tampa Bay this season. Julio Jones has been his favorite target, totaling 104 receptions for 1,539 yards and seven touchdowns on 157 targets. Jones, who had been known for struggling to score touchdowns, has now scored seven touchdowns over his last eight games. He has also scored five of his seven touchdowns on the road this season. He’s a relatively consistent option, who comes with elite upside, as well. Brian Hill makes a high upside option, but should only be considered if Tevin Coleman cannot play this weekend. In his last game, Hill needed only eight carries to record 115 yards. Hill has only played limited snaps in the NFL, but he was an elite runner in college, while displaying some receiving upside. He comes with elite upside for his price tag if Coleman is forced to miss this game. If Coleman is is starting, he can be considered of Mohamed Sanu can be used in place of Hill.