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Trevis’ PGA Punt Plays – 2019 AT&T Pro-Am

For those of you new to the plethora of content DFSKarma.com puts out on a daily/weekly basis, this is my weekly PGA article that focuses on the cheapos no one else dare write about. It had massive success last year with my getting sub $7K (DK) golfers finishing top 10 at less than 1% ownership on an almost weekly basis. Well, I’m bringing it back this year with the same concept. My cap this year is $7300 in DraftKings pricing (but you can still play them on FanDuel, FantasyDraft, or Yahoo). I focus on recent form and course history heavily to spit out my favorite 5 golfers from within that range.

 

2019 AT&T Pro-Am

This week we have another “one of those” events where we have golfers playing on 3 different courses concurrently. Here are those 3:

Pebble Beach Golf Links – Par 72 at just over 6800 yards. Poa greens. (Uber short for Par 72)

Monterey Peninsula CC Shore Course – Par 71 at 6958 yards. Poa greens.

Spyglass Hill Golf Club – Par 72 and just under 7000 yards. Poa greens.

 

 

Pat Perez – 7300 DK | 9300 FD

Patty P SZN! In each of the last 5 years good ole Pat hasn’t missed the cut here. On top of THAT, he has 3 top 14 finishes in his last 5 appearances with a 4th in 2015 and a 7th in 2014. Perez comes in at 24th overall in total strokes gained using my model (the lowest of all 5 Punts). That being said, he doesn’t have any stat outside of 67th best. Lock. Him. In.

 

Kevin Streelman – 7300 DK | 8300 FD

Man of Streel makes another appearance this season in my weekly Punt Plays. He has made the cut here each of the last 3 years including a 6th place finish here last year. Streelman comes in at 7th overall in total strokes gained. He has 3 stats inside the top 8 being 8th in SG: T2G and 3rd overall in both SG: BS and SG: APP. The only worrisome stat I see is SG: ARG where he ranks a putrid 107th.

 

Freddie Jacobson – 6000 DK | 7200 FD

When Freddie J first popped up as #2 overall in my model, I thought it was just an error. That was until I saw that the last time he competed at this event in 2016 he finished in 4th place! Mr. Min Salary is mainly 2nd overall in my model due to him being ranked FIRST overall in SG: SG and SG: P. When all 3 of this week’s courses feature Poa greens, and this guy eats Poa greens for breakfast, I wouldn’t be shocked if he helped someone take down a GPP this week.

 

Jimmy Walker – 7100 DK | 8900 FD

Jimmy Dubs, like Patty P, is a perfect 5 for 5 in recent history on making the cut here. Unlike Pat, he actually won this event back in 2014. Last year he finished this event in 8th place. Jimbo clocks in at 3rd overall in total strokes gained featuring FIVE stats inside the top 11 (T2G/BS/SG/APP/P). His SG: OTT is a lackluster 105th, but with short courses, I’m not TOO worried.

 

Vaughn Taylor – 7000 DK | 8600 FD

Another Punt Play with a Pebble Beach win as VT took this down back in 2016 and finished 10th the year before. He does have a missed cut in 2017 and a “I made the cut but sucked” 55th place finish here last year. Taylor comes in at 11th overall in my model. He doesn’t have good recent form when it comes to his short game and putting on Poa greens, but he is top 8 pretty much everywhere else. I don’t think he has a shot at Top 10 this week, but I see him definitely making the cut.

 

 

Key

SG = Strokes Gained

SG: TOT = Total

SG: T2G = Tee to Green

SG: BS = Ball Striking

SG: SG = Short Game

SG: OTT = Off The Tee

SG: APP = Approach

SG: ARG = Around The Green

SG: P = Putting

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