Trevis’ PGA Punt Plays – 2019 Wells Fargo Championship - DFS Karma
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Trevis’ PGA Punt Plays – 2019 Wells Fargo Championship

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For those of you new to the plethora of content DFSKarma.com puts out on a daily/weekly basis, this is my weekly PGA article that focuses on the cheapos no one else dare write about. It had massive success last year with my getting sub $7K (DK) golfers finishing top 10 at less than 1% ownership on an almost weekly basis. Well, I’m bringing it back this year with the same concept. My cap this year is $7300 in DraftKings pricing (but you can still play them on FanDuel, FantasyDraft, or Yahoo). I focus on recent form and course history heavily to spit out my favorite 5 golfers from within that range.

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That being said, my PGA Punt Plays article looks a little different (for the better) moving forward. You will see below that I have highlighted 5 players within Fantasy National within my price range of $7300 and below.

 

2019 Wells Fargo Championship

This event is played at Quail Hollow. It plays as a Par 71 at 7,554 yards and features Bermuda greens.

Recent Form

Remember that guy I always mention hits when I don’t play and misses when I do? That’s Brendan Steele, who ranks 5th overall in total strokes gained. For the prosperity of Karma Nation, I will not play him this week, so plug away.

It’s been a while since I wrote up Ollie. His 92nd ranking in SG: OTT is slightly worrisome, but his 7th overall rankings and super solid stats elsewhere, I’m all aboard this week.

Sam Saunders is $6600. We play him and hope he makes the cut. He is ranked 10th overall in total strokes gained. We just need him to make the cut, that’s it, and I think he does.

Adam Hadwin has been decent the few times I’ve written him up. Besides not being too grand putting on fast bermuda greens, his iron game has been fire. 11th overall in total strokes gained. I’m down.

One of Anthony’s favorite guys to plug, Chesson doesn’t have any Top 15 stats, but he is consistent across the board. I think he definitely makes the cut this week and even pushes for a Top 25 finish.

One of my favorite guys to write up, Martin Laird, comes in at 17th overall in total strokes gained. I wrote him up before playing him was cool. His stats range from 23rd-55th and at only $7000 salary, I’m betting on him making the cut.

Sam Burns has burned me the last few times I’ve written him up. Pun intended. Usually the pattern is he does well when I try to avoid him after being scorned. Countering that pattern and using him in GPPs, even though I think his $7200 price tag is a few hundred too much.

Pat Perez is the man. Last time I wrote him up he finished Top 5. His style is: Birdie first, ask questions later. Anytime he pops in my model, I ALWAYS play him. He will not let you down this week.

 

Tournament History

This event used to be played as a Par 72, so keep that in mind (pre-2017). That being said, Steele has no exposure to the redone holes and new format. During the Par 72 era, he did fairly well though.

Patty P out here with a 2nd place finish two years ago. Didn’t compete here last year, but the 2nd in his last showing is enough to give him tons of exposure.

The cheapest Punt Play this week had the best finish at this event last year. We only need him to make the cut at $6600. Let that sink in.

Martin Laird never had amazing finishes at this event, but he made the cut, and that’s what we are aiming for again this week, even if he didn’t compete here last year.

Chesson with 3 Top 20s here in the last 4 years. I smell another one this week.

Hadwin finished 16th here last year. With his recent form looking decent, I wouldn’t be shocked for another Top 20 finish from him as well.

Ollie is 1 for 1 on making the cut since the flip to a Par 71. Not an amazing finish here last year, but a finish nonetheless.

Sam Burns DID make the cut here last year, but he was atrocious in doing so. I think he is playing slightly better this go around however. I will have him in 1-2 lineups, but not more than that.

 

 

Key

SG = Strokes Gained

SG: TOT = Total

SG: T2G = Tee to Green

SG: BS = Ball Striking

SG: SG = Short Game

SG: OTT = Off The Tee

SG: APP = Approach

SG: ARG = Around The Green

SG: P = Putting

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